Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.672563 6.204242 6.803355 7.537553 8.426259 9.485632 10.874151
2025-01-19 4.783380 5.419083 6.185187 7.202469 8.562551 10.394906 13.212685
2025-01-26 4.480291 5.250059 6.241589 7.675216 9.825239 13.217604 19.862817
2025-02-02 4.393959 5.329982 6.623718 8.684921 12.257934 19.364491 41.546841
2025-02-09 4.173583 5.191809 6.675771 9.232540 14.279312 27.162601 118.544906
2025-02-16 3.945048 5.005506 6.618354 9.588836 16.212156 38.749489 NaN
2025-02-23 3.716290 4.786589 6.469090 9.740415 17.867342 56.040528 NaN
2025-03-02 3.419589 4.431507 6.044102 9.252718 17.623383 64.579171 NaN
2025-03-09 3.223753 4.213209 5.820277 9.124701 18.397502 90.151838 NaN
2025-03-16 2.991680 3.918580 5.431613 8.570201 17.557881 94.894869 NaN
2025-03-23 2.879118 3.804364 5.345179 8.657572 18.989886 178.734368 NaN
2025-03-30 2.790816 3.721029 5.302569 8.834659 20.986810 829.127877 NaN
2025-04-06 2.617714 3.502306 5.018395 8.455685 20.774680 20607.608480 NaN
2025-04-13 2.449648 3.282719 4.715862 7.988217 19.949265 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.408336 3.270656 4.801357 8.516126 24.819280 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.422928 3.354218 5.085380 9.706612 38.528818 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.380015 3.333804 5.158758 10.349661 54.206023 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.321930 3.281111 5.156957 10.767428 75.151891 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.252792 3.202775 5.089220 10.939819 99.772760 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 2.144478 3.045727 4.830863 10.333603 89.674687 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 2.070252 2.947716 4.696850 10.172101 100.495889 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.972106 2.800749 4.441827 9.498705 82.196337 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.925180 2.746384 4.391301 9.601392 105.951326 NaN NaN